The Boston Celtics are 4.5-point favorites heading into Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Miami Heat at FTX Arena on Sunday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Heat lead the series 2-0. The matchup has an over/under of 214.5 points.

Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Info

  • When: Sunday, May 21, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
  • TV: TNT
Favorite Spread Over/Under
Celtics -4.5 214.5

Check out the latest NBA odds and place your bets on this matchup with BetMGM Sportsbook.

Celtics Betting Records & Stats

  • Boston's 82 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 214.5 points 65 times.
  • The average total in Boston's games this year is 229.4, 14.9 more than this matchup's over/under.
  • So far this season, the Celtics have compiled a 45-37-0 record against the spread.
  • This season, Boston has been favored 73 times and won 52, or 71.2%, of those games.
  • This season, Boston has won 38 of its 55 games, or 69.1%, when favored by at least -185 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Celtics, based on the moneyline, is 64.9%.

Heat Betting Records & Stats

  • Miami has played 52 games this season that have gone over 214.5 combined points scored.
  • The average over/under for Miami's outings this season is 219.3, 4.8 more points than this game's point total.
  • Miami has a 30-52-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Heat have been chosen as underdogs in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (30.4%) in those games.
  • Miami has a record of 3-8, a 27.3% win rate, when it is set as the underdog by +150 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Miami has a 40% chance of pulling out a win.

Celtics vs Heat Additional Info

Celtics vs. Heat Over/Under Stats (Regular Season)

Games Over 214.5 % of Games Over 214.5 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total
Celtics 65 79.3% 117.9 227.4 111.4 221.2 227.8
Heat 52 63.4% 109.5 227.4 109.8 221.2 219.6

Additional Celtics Insights & Trends

  • The Celtics have gone 5-5 over their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
  • The Celtics have gone over the total in seven of their last 10 outings.
  • When playing at home, Boston sports a better record against the spread (23-18-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (22-19-0).
  • The Celtics record 117.9 points per game, 8.1 more points than the 109.8 the Heat allow.
  • Boston is 40-21 against the spread and 49-12 overall when scoring more than 109.8 points.

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Additional Heat Insights & Trends

  • Miami has an 8-2 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall in its last 10 contests.
  • The Heat have gone over the total in seven of their last 10 contests.
  • Against the spread, Miami has had better results away (16-25-0) than at home (14-27-0).
  • The Heat put up just 1.9 fewer points per game (109.5) than the Celtics give up to opponents (111.4).
  • Miami has put together a 17-17 ATS record and a 26-8 overall record in games it scores more than 111.4 points.

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Splits

Celtics and Heat Betting Information
ATS Record ATS Record Against 4.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Celtics 45-37 26-30 43-39
Heat 30-52 7-8 41-41

Celtics vs. Heat Point Insights

Celtics Heat
117.9
Points Scored (PG)
 109.5
4
NBA Rank (PPG)
 30
40-21
ATS Record Scoring AVG+
 17-17
49-12
Overall Record Scoring AVG+
 26-8
111.4
Points Allowed (PG)
 109.8
4
NBA Rank (PAPG)
 2
28-8
ATS Record Allowing < AVG
 26-39
31-5
Overall Record Allowing < AVG
 39-26

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